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Economic indicators, Economic information, The economy

SARB: Composite business cycle indicators for South Africa

22 May.

Composite business cycle indicators for South Africa.

The composite leading business cycle indicator increased by 0,1 per cent in March 2012 compared with the preceding month. Five of the ten component time series that were available for March 2012 increased, while five decreased. The major positive contributions to the movement in the leading indicator in March came from an acceleration in the twelve-month percentage change in job advertisement space, followed by an acceleration in the twelve-month percentage change in the composite leading business cycle indicator of South Africa’s major trading-partner countries. The largest negative contributions in March came from a decrease in the export commodity price index, as well as a decline in the average hours worked in the manufacturing sector.

The composite coincident business cycle indicator increased by 0,5 per cent on a month-to-month basis in February 2012.

The composite lagging business cycle indicator decreased by 0,5 per cent in February 2012.

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About Coastal Roy

A consultant experienced in the financial sector in Africa and with a background of central banking, the financial system and information technology. Area of expertise: - Financial market development and regulation. - Payment, clearing and settlement systems modernisation and regulation. - Strategy and policy development for central banks and the financial sector. - Capacity building, advising and mentoring in financial sector development. Educational qualifications: - Master of Business Leadership, degree; UNISA - BSc (Hons) degree in Physics, Manchester University

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